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Season vs. year analysis
Q: In many pastoral areas there are two rainy seasons. Doesn’t it make more sense to prepare the outcome analysis by season rather than for the year as a whole, since the whole-year analysis often involves making assumptions about the performance of the second season?
A: Yes, in one sense it does make sense to do the analysis by season, and this remains an important area for further development of HEA in the future. However, it is also true that many of the agencies responsible for responding to problems in pastoral areas plan on an annual basis and require estimates of need by year. In order to meet that planning requirement, the current approach is to make a projection for the whole year following the first or main rainy season, and then to update this analysis after the second or subsidiary season.
